This is interesting and informative, and matches a theory I’ve seen mentioned (even Governor Cuomo talked about it). Basically, the worst idea was severe quarantine, as it drove people into their homes and into hospitals, rather than getting out and about. The reason for this is because the virus spreads easiest in close contact, which happens where? Among a family forced to live at home for days on end. And in a hospital where virus patients spread the disease like wildfire.